Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
5
Down 80%
$6
-$16.63
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $11.52 | — | -$11.52 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 58% 3596-2603 (6199) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
Invested
$11.52
Value
—
PnL
-$11.52
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
58%
3596-2603 (6199)
Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0