Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$141.35
-$37.7
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.1¢ | $48.03 | — | -$48.03 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $99.6 | $111.51 | +$11.91 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $14.29 | $15.84 | +$1.55 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $11.2 | $14 | +$2.8 | 58% 3596-2603 (6199) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 49% 1477-1548 (3025) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
Invested
$48.03
Value
—
PnL
-$48.03
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$99.6
Value
$111.51
PnL
+$11.91
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$14.29
Value
$15.84
PnL
+$1.55
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$11.2
Value
$14
PnL
+$2.8
Record
58%
3596-2603 (6199)
Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
49%
1477-1548 (3025)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $111.51
aaa221
Down — $15.84
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $14
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0