Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$250.12
$34.09
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 72Β’ | $113.77 | $157.92 | +$44.15 | 58% 3585-2599 (6184) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 60.9Β’ | $97.95 | $71.7 | -$26.24 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 59.9Β’ | $42.98 | $71.7 | +$28.72 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 60.9Β’ | $54.96 | β | -$54.96 | |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | $5.4 | $15 | +$9.6 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.5Β’ | $12.72 | β | -$12.72 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.5Β’ | $7.1 | β | -$7.1 | 49% 1453-1538 (2991) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $2.53 | β | -$2.53 | 42% 1609-2196 (3805) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $2.81 | $5.5 | +$2.7 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
Invested
$113.77
Value
$157.92
PnL
+$44.15
Record
58%
3585-2599 (6184)
Invested
$97.95
Value
$71.7
PnL
-$26.24
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.6
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$12.72
Value
β
PnL
-$12.72
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
β
PnL
-$7.1
Record
49%
1453-1538 (2991)
Invested
$2.53
Value
β
PnL
-$2.53
Record
42%
1609-2196 (3805)
Invested
$2.81
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $157.92
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $15
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
PBot-5
Down β $5.5