Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Up 86%

Total Value

$46.14

Combined PnL

-$21.17

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down1 trader

Total Value$46.14

Total Shares46

Combined PnL+$9.81

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares130

Combined PnL-$30.98

Down — 14%Up — 86%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 76.5¢	$36.32	$46.14	+$9.81	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 24¢	$7.2	—	-$7.2	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 21.2¢	$20.15	—	-$20.15	49% 1453-1538 (2991)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.75	—	-$1.75	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 32¢	$0.47	—	-$0.47	59% 3587-2446 (6033)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$36.32

Value

$46.14

PnL

+$9.81

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$7.2

Value

—

PnL

-$7.2

Record

58%

3585-2599 (6184)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$20.15

Value

—

PnL

-$20.15

Record

49%

1453-1538 (2991)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

47%

2043-2283 (4326)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$0.4

Value

—

PnL

-$0.4

Record

47%

1998-2233 (4231)

Invested

$0.47

Value

—

PnL

-$0.47

Record

59%

3587-2446 (6033)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x632947b1...641949

Slug

doge-updown-15m-1794671100

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $46.14

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

aaa221

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket