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UpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$198.36
Combined PnL
-$0.6
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$198.36
Total Shares198
Combined PnL+$12.65
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$13.25
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $114.85 | $125.36 | +$10.51 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $80.14 | $73 | +$2.14 | 58% 3566-2579 (6145) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.2¢ | $9.25 | — | -$9.25 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$114.85
Value
$125.36
PnL
+$10.51
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$80.14
Value
$73
PnL
+$2.14
Record
58%
3566-2579 (6145)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$9.25
Value
—
PnL
-$9.25
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x589c82ef...b1a6f1
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794663900