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Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$61.88
Combined PnL
-$10.36
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$61.88
Total Shares62
Combined PnL+$8.37
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares132
Combined PnL-$18.73
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $29.78 | $36 | +$6.22 | 58% 3538-2545 (6083) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.5¢ | $7.12 | — | -$7.12 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $23.73 | $25.88 | +$2.15 | 50% 2066-2059 (4125) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.5¢ | $7.31 | — | -$7.31 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $4.31 | — | -$4.31 | 42% 1466-2059 (3525) |
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$29.78
Value
$36
PnL
+$6.22
Record
58%
3538-2545 (6083)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$7.12
Value
—
PnL
-$7.12
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$23.73
Value
$25.88
PnL
+$2.15
Record
50%
2066-2059 (4125)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$7.31
Value
—
PnL
-$7.31
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$4.31
Value
—
PnL
-$4.31
Record
42%
1466-2059 (3525)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x448260e4...c6f7d7
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794650400