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DownUpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$91.99
Combined PnL
-$32.17
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$87.34
Up2 traders
Total Value$91.99
Total Shares92
Combined PnL+$55.17
Down β 60%Up β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2Β’ | $86.12 | β | -$86.12 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 28.6Β’ | $20.63 | $71.99 | +$51.37 | 41% 1415-2011 (3426) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $16.2 | $20 | +$3.8 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $0.55 | β | -$0.55 | 48% 1360-1458 (2818) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $0.67 | β | -$0.67 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$86.12
Value
β
PnL
-$86.12
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$20.63
Value
$71.99
PnL
+$51.37
Record
41%
1415-2011 (3426)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$16.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.8
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
β
PnL
-$0.55
Record
48%
1360-1458 (2818)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.67
Value
β
PnL
-$0.67
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x256d0c1b...e1470d
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794643200