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UpDownUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$63
Combined PnL
$57.69
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$63
Total Shares63
Combined PnL+$20.81
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares166
Combined PnL+$36.88
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $28.85 | $43 | +$14.15 | 58% 3492-2495 (5987) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $13.34 | $20 | +$6.66 | 60% 3365-2262 (5627) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 48% 1355-1450 (2805) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.1¢ | $25.54 | — | +$39.43 | 41% 1393-1983 (3376) |
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$28.85
Value
$43
PnL
+$14.15
Record
58%
3492-2495 (5987)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.34
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.66
Record
60%
3365-2262 (5627)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
1355-1450 (2805)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$25.54
Value
—
PnL
+$39.43
Record
41%
1393-1983 (3376)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x18bbb1fc...5a6f3a
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794638700