Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
6
Down 67%
$112
$19.51
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 68.2Β’ | $66.51 | $89 | +$22.49 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $12.89 | $23 | +$10.11 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.8Β’ | $6.79 | β | -$6.79 | 59% 3410-2403 (5813) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.94 | β | -$2.94 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 9Β’ | $0.2 | β | -$0.2 | 48% 1324-1417 (2741) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2Β’ | $3.16 | β | -$3.16 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
Invested
$66.51
Value
$89
PnL
+$22.49
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$12.89
Value
$23
PnL
+$10.11
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Invested
$6.79
Value
β
PnL
-$6.79
Record
59%
3410-2403 (5813)
Invested
$2.94
Value
β
PnL
-$2.94
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
β
PnL
-$0.2
Record
48%
1324-1417 (2741)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.16
Value
β
PnL
-$3.16
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $89
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $23
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
CTRDown β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
CTRDown β $0