Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 57%
$78.31
$1.73
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $37.8 | $55.51 | +$17.71 | 55% 1559-1298 (2857) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $17.78 | $17.8 | +$0.02 | 50% 1135-1122 (2257) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.7¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $11.04 | — | -$11.04 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 59% 3299-2310 (5609) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 48% 1198-1305 (2503) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.2¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
Invested
$37.8
Value
$55.51
PnL
+$17.71
Record
55%
1559-1298 (2857)
Invested
$17.78
Value
$17.8
PnL
+$0.02
Record
50%
1135-1122 (2257)
Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$11.04
Value
—
PnL
-$11.04
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
59%
3299-2310 (5609)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
48%
1198-1305 (2503)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $55.51
0x50f7
Up — $17.8
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $5
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRDown — $0