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UpDownDownDownDown
cryingbabydicer87<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$16.35
Combined PnL
-$18.34
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$16.35
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$8.14
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares125
Combined PnL-$26.48
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 52.8¢ | $8 | $15.14 | +$7.14 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 59% 2959-2052 (5011) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.2¢ | $21.64 | — | -$21.64 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0.2 | $1.2 | +$1 | 47% 935-1043 (1978) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$8
Value
$15.14
PnL
+$7.14
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
59%
2959-2052 (5011)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$21.64
Value
—
PnL
-$21.64
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
$1.2
PnL
+$1
Record
47%
935-1043 (1978)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb084e3a1...0d2bc2
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794506400