Back to Markets
UpDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 75%
Total Value
$138.2
Combined PnL
$19.49
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$138.2
Total Shares138
Combined PnL+$54.35
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$34.86
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $83.85 | $138.2 | +$54.35 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $4.87 | — | -$4.87 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.4¢ | $5.19 | — | -$5.19 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $20.05 | — | -$20.05 | 60% 2627-1728 (4355) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $7.1 | — | -$4.75 | — |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14Invested
$83.85
Value
$138.2
PnL
+$54.35
Record
—
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$4.87
Value
—
PnL
-$4.87
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.19
Value
—
PnL
-$5.19
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$20.05
Value
—
PnL
-$20.05
Record
60%
2627-1728 (4355)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.75
Record
—
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfd1973e0...d6b393
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794453300