Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Up 50%
$214.92
-$103.32
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 44.4¢ | $150.8 | — | -$150.8 | 37% 435-728 (1163) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 65.9¢ | $85.96 | $130.43 | +$44.47 | 60% 2597-1705 (4302) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $56.73 | $54.38 | -$2.35 | 50% 1263-1254 (2517) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 43.4¢ | $22.41 | $30.11 | +$7.7 | 49% 706-726 (1432) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 44% 945-1197 (2142) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 48% 962-1040 (2002) |
Invested
$150.8
Value
—
PnL
-$150.8
Record
37%
435-728 (1163)
Invested
$85.96
Value
$130.43
PnL
+$44.47
Record
60%
2597-1705 (4302)
Invested
$56.73
Value
$54.38
PnL
-$2.35
Record
50%
1263-1254 (2517)
Invested
$22.41
Value
$30.11
PnL
+$7.7
Record
49%
706-726 (1432)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
44%
945-1197 (2142)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
48%
962-1040 (2002)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $130.43
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $54.38
uninformedfloww
Down — $30.11
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0