Back to Markets
YesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$97
Combined PnL
$21.74
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$97
Total Shares97
Combined PnL+$14.48
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares284
Combined PnL+$7.26
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Yesavg 98.1¢ | $75.54 | $77 | +$1.46 | 98% 3309-82 (3391) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 19.9¢ | $6.98 | $20 | +$13.02 | 32% 4445-9534 (13979) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 40¢ | $8 | — | +$8.67 | 61% 21161-13476 (34637) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 7.2¢ | $13.89 | — | -$13.89 | 42% 5221-7152 (12373) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 36.6¢ | $63.47 | — | +$12.48 | 36% 15651-27561 (43212) |
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$75.54
Value
$77
PnL
+$1.46
Record
98%
3309-82 (3391)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
$6.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.02
Record
32%
4445-9534 (13979)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
+$8.67
Record
61%
21161-13476 (34637)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
$13.89
Value
—
PnL
-$13.89
Record
42%
5221-7152 (12373)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$63.47
Value
—
PnL
+$12.48
Record
36%
15651-27561 (43212)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xbe0c893a...7a1895
Slug
democratic-senate-odds-over-68-on-october-31