Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-08?

2 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (15%) · Yes at 87¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 8

Yes87¢No13¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 15%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$16.3

Smart Money Entry

86.1¢ → 86.5¢

+0% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

NeutralYes at 87%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 13 top traders (15%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes87%

No14%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares1,365

Combined PnL-$12.71

No11 traders

Total Value$273.48

Total Shares1,939

Combined PnL-$3.59

Yes — 15%No — 85%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Yesavg 86.1¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$12.73	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Noavg 13.2¢	$104.82	$107.28	+$2.46	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Noavg 14¢	$86.05	$82.98	-$3.07	50% 1850-1866 (3716)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Noavg 15¢	$18.56	$18.56	+$0	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Noavg 15.8¢	$16.66	$16.07	-$0.59	50% 26504-26107 (52611)
OD OddstormCTR<$100	Noavg 16.7¢	$11.5	$11.04	-$0.35	48% 7452-7984 (15436)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Noavg 15.7¢	$11.37	$10.48	-$0.89	48% 1776-1912 (3688)
GC GC-PCTR<$100	Noavg 15¢	$10.5	$10.15	-$0.35	64% 10184-5783 (15967)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Noavg 15.6¢	$9.21	$8.54	-$0.67	49% 1844-1936 (3780)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Yesavg 86¢	$4.3	$4.33	+$0.03	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Noavg 15.2¢	$4.55	$4.05	-$0.5	52% 9022-8174 (17196)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Noavg 15¢	$3.75	$4	+$0.25	51% 38648-37820 (76468)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Noavg 14¢	$1.73	$0.34	+$0.11	58% 47904-34520 (82424)

Flaznorp

Yes

Invested

$1,281.01

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$12.73

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$104.82

Value

$107.28

PnL

+$2.46

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

LimousinCTR<$100

Invested

$86.05

Value

$82.98

PnL

-$3.07

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

$18.56

Value

$18.56

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

sentrioCTR<$100

Invested

$16.66

Value

$16.07

PnL

-$0.59

Record

50%

26504-26107 (52611)

OddstormCTR<$100

Invested

$11.5

Value

$11.04

PnL

-$0.35

Record

48%

7452-7984 (15436)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$11.37

Value

$10.48

PnL

-$0.89

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

GC-PCTR<$100

Invested

$10.5

Value

$10.15

PnL

-$0.35

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$9.21

Value

$8.54

PnL

-$0.67

Record

49%

1844-1936 (3780)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Yes

Invested

$4.3

Value

$4.33

PnL

+$0.03

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Invested

$4.55

Value

$4.05

PnL

-$0.5

Record

52%

9022-8174 (17196)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

PnL

+$0.25

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

$1.73

Value

$0.34

PnL

+$0.11

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

Research grade

NeutralYes at 87%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 13 top traders (15%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance88.0%

86.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$13.58

Max Loss

-$100.00

113.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.