Towson Tigers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (W)

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Towson Tigers (70%) · Towson Tigers at 90¢ · $2K held · ended Nov 13

Towson Tigers90¢Loyola Maryland Greyhounds10¢Ended Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Towson Tigers

Consensus Traders

Towson Tigers 70%

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$262.24

Smart Money Entry

89.2¢ → 90¢

+1% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

AvoidTowson Tigers at 90%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Towson Tigers

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Towson Tigers90%

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds10%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Towson Tigers7 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,793

Combined PnL-$155.6

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds3 traders

Total Value$143.4

Total Shares1,234

Combined PnL-$106.64

Towson Tigers — 70%Loyola Maryland Greyhounds — 30%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Towson Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrTowson Tigers 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedTowson Tigers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Towson Tigers 67% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Towson Tigersavg 88.9¢	$945.97	$956.31	+$10.33	56% 4863-3816 (8679)
TH thirdt1me	Towson Tigersavg 89.6¢	$318.18	$317.95	-$0.22	47% 212-243 (455)
38 38791873984189	Towson Tigersavg 89.9¢	$785.36	$231.6	-$158.31	48% 2786-3040 (5826)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsavg 12.5¢	$112.13	$90.06	-$22.07	36% 432-771 (1203)
US User7429<$100	Towson Tigersavg 91.8¢	$60.14	$55.04	-$5.1	36% 252-442 (694)
PA Pan9X<$100	Towson Tigersavg 83.6¢	$43.93	$38.27	-$0.02	49% 1306-1355 (2661)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsavg 43¢	$97.17	$36.16	-$61.01	46% 2084-2445 (4529)
alpheclabs2<$100	Towson Tigersavg 90¢	$29.25	$27.3	-$1.95	46% 219-260 (479)
poshposhCTR<$100	Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsavg 37.9¢	$40.74	$17.18	-$23.56	46% 781-902 (1683)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Towson Tigersavg 87¢	$9.52	$9.19	-$0.33	59% 3288-2302 (5590)

RN1

Towson Tigers

Invested

$945.97

Value

$956.31

PnL

+$10.33

Record

56%

4863-3816 (8679)

thirdt1me

Towson Tigers

Invested

$318.18

Value

$317.95

PnL

-$0.22

Record

47%

212-243 (455)

38791873984189

Towson Tigers

Invested

$785.36

Value

$231.6

PnL

-$158.31

Record

48%

2786-3040 (5826)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Invested

$112.13

Value

$90.06

PnL

-$22.07

Record

36%

432-771 (1203)

User7429<$100

Towson Tigers

Invested

$60.14

Value

$55.04

PnL

-$5.1

Record

36%

252-442 (694)

Pan9X<$100

Towson Tigers

Invested

$43.93

Value

$38.27

PnL

-$0.02

Record

49%

1306-1355 (2661)

suntoriCTR<$100

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Invested

$97.17

Value

$36.16

PnL

-$61.01

Record

46%

2084-2445 (4529)

alpheclabs2<$100

Towson Tigers

Invested

$29.25

Value

$27.3

PnL

-$1.95

Record

46%

219-260 (479)

poshposhCTR<$100

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Invested

$40.74

Value

$17.18

PnL

-$23.56

Record

46%

781-902 (1683)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Towson Tigers

Invested

$9.52

Value

$9.19

PnL

-$0.33

Record

59%

3288-2302 (5590)

Research grade

AvoidTowson Tigers at 90%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Towson Tigers

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

67% of non-arb traders are on Towson Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrTowson Tigers 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedTowson Tigers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Towson Tigers 67% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Towson Tigers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance91.4%

90.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$9.40

Max Loss

-$100.00

109.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.