Counter-Strike: your end vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

7 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Low Cortisol (78%) · Low Cortisol at 53¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 7

your end48¢Low Cortisol52¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Low Cortisol

Consensus Traders

Low Cortisol 78%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$76.85

Smart Money Entry

54¢ → 52.5¢

-3% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralLow Cortisol at 53%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Low Cortisol

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

your end48%

Low Cortisol53%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Low Cortisol7 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares2,936

Combined PnL-$76.73

your end2 traders

Total Value$5.4

Total Shares11

Combined PnL-$0.12

Low Cortisol — 78%your end — 22%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 66%

Freshness

Fresh

10h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

88% of non-arb traders are on Low Cortisol. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 66% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleLow Cortisol 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrLow Cortisol 86% · 7

Aligned

Hand-pickedLow Cortisol 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Low Cortisol 86% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GA Gaditima	Low Cortisolavg 55¢	$550	$510	-$35	48% 7433-8152 (15585)
38 38791873984189	Low Cortisolavg 54.5¢	$499.01	$466.91	-$32.1	48% 61866-66730 (128596)
FL Flaznorp	Low Cortisolavg 53.7¢	$219.24	$214.26	-$4.98	51% 26313-24941 (51254)
OM omnibus-076daa	Low Cortisolavg 52.9¢	$181.66	$175.11	-$6.54	50% 21340-21623 (42963)
SE sentrio<$100	Low Cortisolavg 50.1¢	$90.49	$92.05	+$2.46	50% 26083-25738 (51821)
VeryLucky888<$100	Low Cortisolavg 51¢	$42.52	$42.52	+$0	58% 47031-33914 (80945)
0X 0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176CTR<$100	your endavg 51.2¢	$3.17	$3	-$0.17	53% 6272-5620 (11892)
SH shiifoo<$100	Low Cortisolavg 62.2¢	$3.11	$2.55	-$0.56	47% 4083-4641 (8724)
Rex416CTR<$100	your endavg 47¢	$2.35	$2.4	+$0.05	57% 2620-2003 (4623)

Gaditima

Low Cortisol

Invested

$550

Value

$510

PnL

-$35

Record

48%

7433-8152 (15585)

38791873984189

Low Cortisol

Invested

$499.01

Value

$466.91

PnL

-$32.1

Record

48%

61866-66730 (128596)

Flaznorp

Low Cortisol

Invested

$219.24

Value

$214.26

PnL

-$4.98

Record

51%

26313-24941 (51254)

omnibus-076daa

Low Cortisol

Invested

$181.66

Value

$175.11

PnL

-$6.54

Record

50%

21340-21623 (42963)

sentrio<$100

Low Cortisol

Invested

$90.49

Value

$92.05

PnL

+$2.46

Record

50%

26083-25738 (51821)

VeryLucky888<$100

Low Cortisol

Invested

$42.52

Value

$42.52

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47031-33914 (80945)

0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176CTR<$100

your end

Invested

$3.17

Value

PnL

-$0.17

Record

53%

6272-5620 (11892)

shiifoo<$100

Low Cortisol

Invested

$3.11

Value

$2.55

PnL

-$0.56

Record

47%

4083-4641 (8724)

Rex416CTR<$100

your end

Invested

$2.35

Value

$2.4

PnL

+$0.05

Record

57%

2620-2003 (4623)

Research grade

NeutralLow Cortisol at 53%

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Low Cortisol

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 66%

Freshness

Fresh

10h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

88% of non-arb traders are on Low Cortisol. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 66% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleLow Cortisol 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrLow Cortisol 86% · 7

Aligned

Hand-pickedLow Cortisol 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Low Cortisol 86% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Low Cortisol wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance54.7%

52.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$82.67

Max Loss

-$100.00

182.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.