Counter-Strike: Voca vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Voca (67%) · Voca at 98¢ · $7K held · ends Nov 15

Voca98¢Iowa Stormboar2¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Voca

Consensus Traders

Voca 67%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$2.1K

Smart Money Entry

66.3¢ → 98¢

+48% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralVoca at 98%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Voca

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Voca98%

Iowa Stormboar2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Voca6 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,149

Combined PnL+$2.2K

Iowa Stormboar3 traders

Total Value$35.22

Total Shares270

Combined PnL-$51.64

Voca — 67%Iowa Stormboar — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JA JabJabich	Vocaavg 66.5¢	$4.3K	$6.4K	+$2.1K	35% 48-89 (137)
NO NotJump	Vocaavg 50¢	$262.5	$262.5	+$0	50% 1136-1139 (2275)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Vocaavg 74.8¢	$819.01	$174.69	-$6.01	62% 207-127 (334)
poshposh<$100	Vocaavg 74.6¢	$88.72	$99.75	+$11.03	49% 1336-1411 (2747)
31 319113331313111	Vocaavg 73.2¢	$2.1K	$73.4	+$112.06	55% 209-171 (380)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Iowa Stormboaravg 38¢	$25.65	$27	+$1.35	41% 739-1047 (1786)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100	Vocaavg 98¢	$85.16	$12.32	+$5.37	55% 167-135 (302)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Iowa Stormboaravg 28.4¢	$27.31	$6.03	-$21.28	39% 1579-2471 (4050)
SH shiifooCTR<$100	Iowa Stormboaravg 31¢	$33.9	$2.19	-$31.71	60% 1469-971 (2440)

JabJabich

Voca

Invested

$4,331.84

Value

$6.4K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

35%

48-89 (137)

NotJump

Voca

Invested

$262.5

Value

$262.5

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1136-1139 (2275)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Voca

Invested

$819.01

Value

$174.69

PnL

-$6.01

Record

62%

207-127 (334)

poshposh<$100

Voca

Invested

$88.72

Value

$99.75

PnL

+$11.03

Record

49%

1336-1411 (2747)

319113331313111

Voca

Invested

$2,076.41

Value

$73.4

PnL

+$112.06

Record

55%

209-171 (380)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Iowa Stormboar

Invested

$25.65

Value

$27

PnL

+$1.35

Record

41%

739-1047 (1786)

Future-Tarot-Trader<$100

Voca

Invested

$85.16

Value

$12.32

PnL

+$5.37

Record

55%

167-135 (302)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Iowa Stormboar

Invested

$27.31

Value

$6.03

PnL

-$21.28

Record

39%

1579-2471 (4050)

shiifooCTR<$100

Iowa Stormboar

Invested

$33.9

Value

$2.19

PnL

-$31.71

Record

60%

1469-971 (2440)

Research grade

NeutralVoca at 98%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Voca

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Voca wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.0%

98.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.96

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.