Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team cutierover - Map 1 Winner

3 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Team Recrent (30%) · Team Recrent at 100¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 14

Team Recrent>99¢Team cutierover<1¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Team Recrent

Consensus Traders

Team Recrent 30%

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$151.14

Smart Money Entry

72.8¢ → 100¢

+37% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralTeam Recrent at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Team Recrent

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Team Recrent100%

Team cutierover0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Recrent3 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,605

Combined PnL+$435.94

Team cutierover7 traders

Total Value$342.35

Total Shares1,090

Combined PnL-$284.79

Team Recrent — 30%Team cutierover — 70%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

22% of non-arb traders are on Team Recrent. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrTeam cutierover 71% · 7

Diverging

Top 1000Team cutierover 78% · 9

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
lma0o0o0o	Team Recrentavg 56¢	$540.89	$966.12	+$425.23	53% 41-37 (78)
VP Vps1	Team Recrentavg 99.9¢	$621.67	$621.98	+$0.31	89% 110-14 (124)
NO NotJumpCTR	Team cutieroveravg 50¢	$262.5	$231	-$31.5	52% 808-738 (1546)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Team cutieroveravg 41.7¢	$106.77	$43.3	-$63.47	37% 1015-1693 (2708)
poshposhCTR	Team cutieroveravg 43¢	$105.35	$26.95	-$78.4	48% 1089-1166 (2255)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100	Team cutieroveravg 43¢	$68.8	$17.6	-$51.2	45% 280-340 (620)
SH shiifoo<$100	Team Recrentavg 35.6¢	$5.76	$16.16	+$10.4	61% 1421-900 (2321)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Team cutieroveravg 45.4¢	$39.97	$12.83	-$27.14	48% 3195-3498 (6693)
iceblue-CTR<$100	Team cutieroveravg 45¢	$38.76	$9.48	-$29.29	46% 31-37 (68)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Team cutieroveravg 46¢	$5	$1.19	-$3.8	39% 3638-5769 (9407)

lma0o0o0o

Team Recrent

Invested

$540.89

Value

$966.12

PnL

+$425.23

Record

53%

41-37 (78)

Vps1

Team Recrent

Invested

$621.67

Value

$621.98

PnL

+$0.31

Record

89%

110-14 (124)

NotJumpCTR

Team cutierover

Invested

$262.5

Value

$231

PnL

-$31.5

Record

52%

808-738 (1546)

topdogbigboiCTR

Team cutierover

Invested

$106.77

Value

$43.3

PnL

-$63.47

Record

37%

1015-1693 (2708)

poshposhCTR

Team cutierover

Invested

$105.35

Value

$26.95

PnL

-$78.4

Record

48%

1089-1166 (2255)

alpheclabs2CTR<$100

Team cutierover

Invested

$68.8

Value

$17.6

PnL

-$51.2

Record

45%

280-340 (620)

shiifoo<$100

Team Recrent

Invested

$5.76

Value

$16.16

PnL

+$10.4

Record

61%

1421-900 (2321)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Team cutierover

Invested

$39.97

Value

$12.83

PnL

-$27.14

Record

48%

3195-3498 (6693)

iceblue-CTR<$100

Team cutierover

Invested

$38.76

Value

$9.48

PnL

-$29.29

Record

46%

31-37 (68)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Team cutierover

Invested

Value

$1.19

PnL

-$3.8

Record

39%

3638-5769 (9407)

Research grade

NeutralTeam Recrent at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Team Recrent

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

22% of non-arb traders are on Team Recrent. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrTeam cutierover 71% · 7

Diverging

Top 1000Team cutierover 78% · 9

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Team Recrent wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.