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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was PRIVATE — but FORZE Reload won instead.

Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner

Resolved FORZE Reload. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held PRIVATE. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

PRIVATE 75%

Total Value

$648.33

Combined PnL

$-1.6K

Smart Money Signal

PRIVATE

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

PRIVATE0%

FORZE Reload100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

PRIVATE7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,916

Combined PnL$-2.0K

FORZE Reload3 traders

Total Value$648.33

Total Shares648

Combined PnL+$353.49

PRIVATE — 70%FORZE Reload — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	PRIVATEavg 18.2¢	$1.7K	—	$-1.7K	56% 4160-3248 (7408)
31 319113331313111	FORZE Reloadavg 46.6¢	$604.5	$614.99	+$288.23	55% 202-164 (366)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	FORZE Reloadavg 31¢	$10.33	$33.33	+$23	39% 1554-2430 (3984)
poshposhCTR<$100	PRIVATEavg 40¢	$67.64	—	-$67.64	49% 1306-1379 (2685)
38 38791873984189CTR	PRIVATEavg 48.7¢	$122.07	—	-$122.07	48% 3948-4293 (8241)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	PRIVATEavg 62.3¢	$37.43	—	-$37.43	45% 963-1156 (2119)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR	PRIVATEavg 12.1¢	$685.36	—	+$1.95	61% 196-125 (321)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	PRIVATEavg 55¢	$5	—	-$5	38% 3804-6225 (10029)
NO NotJumpCTR	PRIVATEavg 50¢	$262.5	—	-$0.05	50% 1112-1113 (2225)
KA Kaczka<$100	FORZE Reloadavg 54.1¢	$50	$0	+$42.27	9% 21-204 (225)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Invested

$1,746.8

Value

—

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

56%

4160-3248 (7408)

319113331313111

Invested

$604.5

Value

$614.99

PnL

+$288.23

Record

55%

202-164 (366)

topdogbigboi<$100

Invested

$10.33

Value

$33.33

PnL

+$23

Record

39%

1554-2430 (3984)

poshposhCTR<$100

Invested

$67.64

Value

—

PnL

-$67.64

Record

49%

1306-1379 (2685)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$122.07

Value

—

PnL

-$122.07

Record

48%

3948-4293 (8241)

Invested

$37.43

Value

—

PnL

-$37.43

Record

45%

963-1156 (2119)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR

Invested

$685.36

Value

—

PnL

+$1.95

Record

61%

196-125 (321)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

38%

3804-6225 (10029)

Invested

$262.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

50%

1112-1113 (2225)

Invested

$50

Value

$0

PnL

+$42.27

Record

9%

21-204 (225)

Smart Money Signal

PRIVATE

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x619b144c...a7b551

Slug

cs2-priv-forzer-2026-11-15-game1

Traders in this Market

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

PRIVATE — $0

319113331313111

FORZE Reload — $614.99

topdogbigboi

FORZE Reload — $33.33

poshposh

PRIVATE — $0

38791873984189

PRIVATE — $0

lryyy

PRIVATE — $0

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

PRIVATE — $0

xtxpleasecallme

PRIVATE — $0

NotJump

PRIVATE — $0

Kaczka

FORZE Reload — $0

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