Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was FURIA — and it was correct. Winning outcome: FURIA
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Resolved FURIA. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held FURIA. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
50
FURIA 58%
3 arb excluded
$432.2K
$-30.7K
Smart Money Signal
30 of 50 top traders (60%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 c4acap | FURIAavg 99.9¢ | $65.9K | $66.0K | +$66.07 | 98% 2418-40 (2458) |
46 467j6yj | FURIAavg 98.7¢ | $45.2K | $45.8K | +$596.67 | 97% 3323-116 (3439) |
LL lllllllIlll | FURIAavg 58.1¢ | $43.6K | $75.1K | +$31.5K | 54% 302-256 (558) |
 LlamaEnjoyerCTR | Nemigaavg 41.3¢ | $40.2K | — | $-40.2K | 82% 2121-457 (2578) |
II iii252 | FURIAavg 85.7¢ | $41.3K | $36.9K | $-2.5K | 57% 1137-870 (2007) |
PN pnhct | FURIAavg 82.5¢ | $37.5K | $35.6K | $-1.9K | 53% 511-445 (956) |
LU LuckyWin | FURIAavg 99.9¢ | $30.0K | $30.1K | +$30.05 | 85% 772-134 (906) |
 RN1 | FURIAavg 79.2¢ | $43.0K | $28.4K | $-14.6K | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
 norrisfanCTR | Nemigaavg 41.1¢ | $21.0K | — | $-21.0K | 42% 478-660 (1138) |
OM omnibus-076daa | FURIAavg 58¢ | $18.4K | $31.7K | +$13.3K | 49% 19156-19549 (38705) |
AA aaaa298 | FURIAavg 90.7¢ | $19.2K | $16.4K | $-1.6K | 59% 785-551 (1336) |
 cruzNBACTR | Nemigaavg 27.7¢ | $5.2K | — | $-5.2K | 42% 403-562 (965) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | FURIAavg 69.7¢ | $7.2K | $7.0K | -$260.64 | 52% 13782-12582 (26364) |
| └ FURIA leg | FURIAavg 69.7¢ | $4.9K | $7.0K | +$2.1K | |
| └ Nemiga leg | Nemigaavg 34.2¢ | $2.4K | — | $-2.4K | |
0X 0x42145460F32A84Dd27DF2dbd7afbeE779213dB99-1759056243872CTR | Nemigaavg 59.3¢ | $10.0K | — | $-10.0K | 43% 339-452 (791) |
 Sunshine.SmileCTR | Nemigaavg 41¢ | $5.9K | — | $-5.9K | 58% 1862-1341 (3203) |
SI SineNooneEI | FURIAavg 58¢ | $5.8K | $10.0K | +$4.2K | 55% 919-754 (1673) |
CA caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | FURIAavg 59¢ | $5.4K | $9.2K | +$3.8K | 57% 663-508 (1171) |
AN AnibalAugustoSardinha | FURIAavg 93.3¢ | $5.0K | $5.3K | +$354.59 | 52% 77-71 (148) |
 3648393489047CTR | Nemigaavg 5.1¢ | $387.02 | — | -$387.02 | 61% 1125-710 (1835) |
 KateBollinger | FURIAavg 58¢ | $2.9K | $5.0K | +$2.1K | 68% 1745-808 (2553) |
RR rrooster | FURIAavg 96.9¢ | $5.3K | $5.0K | -$245 | 63% 1338-792 (2130) |
A8 a8999CTR | Nemigaavg 40.7¢ | $2.8K | — | $-2.8K | 44% 1092-1396 (2488) |
UN UnknownpoluyCTR | Nemigaavg 41¢ | $2.7K | — | $-2.7K | 43% 102-134 (236) |
DS dsasdaas | FURIAavg 58.9¢ | $2.4K | $4.1K | +$1.7K | 63% 289-171 (460) |
 Reformedx | FURIAavg 59¢ | $2.4K | $4.0K | +$1.6K | 52% 824-773 (1597) |
c4acapInvested
$65,933.93
Value
$66.0K
PnL
+$66.07
Record
98%
2418-40 (2458)
Invested
$45,172.59
Value
$45.8K
PnL
+$596.67
Record
97%
3323-116 (3439)
Invested
$43,597.89
Value
$75.1K
PnL
+$31.5K
Record
54%
302-256 (558)
LlamaEnjoyerCTRInvested
$40,179
Value
—
PnL
$-40.2K
Record
82%
2121-457 (2578)
Invested
$41,294.97
Value
$36.9K
PnL
$-2.5K
Record
57%
1137-870 (2007)
Invested
$37,540.46
Value
$35.6K
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
53%
511-445 (956)
Invested
$30,020.91
Value
$30.1K
PnL
+$30.05
Record
85%
772-134 (906)
RN1Invested
$43,047.61
Value
$28.4K
PnL
$-14.6K
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
norrisfanCTRInvested
$20,957.71
Value
—
PnL
$-21.0K
Record
42%
478-660 (1138)
Invested
$18,382.78
Value
$31.7K
PnL
+$13.3K
Record
49%
19156-19549 (38705)
Invested
$19,204.78
Value
$16.4K
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
59%
785-551 (1336)
cruzNBACTRInvested
$5,150.52
Value
—
PnL
$-5.2K
Record
42%
403-562 (965)
Invested
$7,223.92
Value
$7.0K
PnL
-$260.64
Record
52%
13782-12582 (26364)
Both legs:
Invested
$10,000
Value
—
PnL
$-10.0K
Record
43%
339-452 (791)
Sunshine.SmileCTRInvested
$5,945
Value
—
PnL
$-5.9K
Record
58%
1862-1341 (3203)
Invested
$5,800
Value
$10.0K
PnL
+$4.2K
Record
55%
919-754 (1673)
Invested
$5,427.96
Value
$9.2K
PnL
+$3.8K
Record
57%
663-508 (1171)
Invested
$4,973.81
Value
$5.3K
PnL
+$354.59
Record
52%
77-71 (148)
3648393489047CTRInvested
$387.02
Value
—
PnL
-$387.02
Record
61%
1125-710 (1835)
KateBollingerInvested
$2,900
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
68%
1745-808 (2553)
Invested
$5,324.92
Value
$5.0K
PnL
-$245
Record
63%
1338-792 (2130)
Invested
$2,761.99
Value
—
PnL
$-2.8K
Record
44%
1092-1396 (2488)
Invested
$2,695
Value
—
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
43%
102-134 (236)
Invested
$2,410.59
Value
$4.1K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
63%
289-171 (460)
ReformedxInvested
$2,360
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
52%
824-773 (1597)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
c4acap
FURIA — $66.0K
467j6yj
FURIA — $45.8K
lllllllIlll
FURIA — $75.1K
LlamaEnjoyer
CTRNemiga — $0
iii252
FURIA — $36.9K
pnhct
FURIA — $35.6K
LuckyWin
FURIA — $30.1K
RN1
FURIA — $28.4K
norrisfan
CTRNemiga — $0
omnibus-076daa
FURIA — $31.7K