Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

7 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold MOUZ (58%) · MOUZ at 68¢ · $22K held · ends Nov 7

MOUZ68¢BetBoom Team32¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

MOUZ

Consensus Traders

MOUZ 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$22.3K

Combined PnL

-$220.64

Smart Money Entry

68.2¢ → 67.5¢

-1% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralMOUZ at 68%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

MOUZ

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

MOUZ68%

BetBoom Team33%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

MOUZ7 traders

Total Value$18.9K

Total Shares28,006

Combined PnL-$184.97

BetBoom Team5 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares6,468

Combined PnL-$35.67

MOUZ — 58%BetBoom Team — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Neimuking	MOUZavg 68¢	$9.9K	$9.8K	-$67.21	60% 70-46 (116)
AS asuka7	MOUZavg 69.1¢	$5.3K	$5.1K	-$121.04	59% 989-697 (1686)
CA caishenbaoyoufadacai888	MOUZavg 67¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$22.57	57% 697-530 (1227)
vtcchampion52CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 33¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$24.7	48% 1171-1257 (2428)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	MOUZavg 68.7¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$16.4	52% 14647-13309 (27956)
└ MOUZ leg	MOUZavg 68.7¢	$935.58	$919.5	-$16.07
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 32.5¢	$338.51	$338.19	-$0.32
ZW zwaaan	MOUZavg 69.1¢	$508	$496.32	-$11.68	53% 144-129 (273)
timebrotime	MOUZavg 69.1¢	$304.8	$297.79	-$7.01	67% 989-480 (1469)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 34.1¢	$255.79	$243.75	-$12.04	51% 2056-1990 (4046)
forsenxdCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 30¢	$199.5	$202.83	+$3.32	53% 1118-978 (2096)
KA Kaczka<$100	MOUZavg 71¢	$86.27	$85.61	-$0.67	51% 495-485 (980)
NS NS13CTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 32.8¢	$32.62	$30.3	-$2.33	52% 440-406 (846)
GH ghorrock<$100	MOUZavg 69¢	$7.55	$7.6	+$0.05	58% 21678-15777 (37455)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 30¢	$4.31	$4.38	+$0.07	48% 62379-67237 (129616)

Neimuking

MOUZ

Invested

$9,896.16

Value

$9.8K

PnL

-$67.21

Record

60%

70-46 (116)

asuka7

MOUZ

Invested

$5,265.85

Value

$5.1K

PnL

-$121.04

Record

59%

989-697 (1686)

caishenbaoyoufadacai888

MOUZ

Invested

$3,024.47

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$22.57

Record

57%

697-530 (1227)

vtcchampion52CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,630.11

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$24.7

Record

48%

1171-1257 (2428)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$1,274.09

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$16.4

Record

52%

14647-13309 (27956)

Both legs:

MOUZ$935.5868.7¢-$16.07

BetBoom Team$338.5132.5¢-$0.32

zwaaan

MOUZ

Invested

$508

Value

$496.32

PnL

-$11.68

Record

53%

144-129 (273)

timebrotime

MOUZ

Invested

$304.8

Value

$297.79

PnL

-$7.01

Record

67%

989-480 (1469)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$255.79

Value

$243.75

PnL

-$12.04

Record

51%

2056-1990 (4046)

forsenxdCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$199.5

Value

$202.83

PnL

+$3.32

Record

53%

1118-978 (2096)

Kaczka<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$86.27

Value

$85.61

PnL

-$0.67

Record

51%

495-485 (980)

NS13CTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$32.62

Value

$30.3

PnL

-$2.33

Record

52%

440-406 (846)

ghorrock<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$7.55

Value

$7.6

PnL

+$0.05

Record

58%

21678-15777 (37455)

38791873984189CTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4.31

Value

$4.38

PnL

+$0.07

Record

48%

62379-67237 (129616)

Research grade

NeutralMOUZ at 68%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

MOUZ

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that MOUZ wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance69.6%

67.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$43.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

143.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.