Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Eternal Fire — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Eternal Fire
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
Resolved Eternal Fire. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Eternal Fire. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Eternal Fire 53%
1 arb excluded
$16.0K
$2.6K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Eternal Fireavg 71.8¢ | $4.9K | $6.5K | +$1.6K | 54% 56315-48472 (104787) |
PN pnhct | Eternal Fireavg 63.1¢ | $3.6K | $4.8K | +$1.2K | 54% 494-424 (918) |
46 467j6yj | Eternal Fireavg 98.8¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$27.15 | 97% 3293-115 (3408) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Eternal Fireavg 65.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.5K | +$146.56 | 52% 13719-12523 (26242) |
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100 | MIBRavg 31.2¢ | $1.7K | $745 | -$922.31 | 58% 18578-13636 (32214) |
| └ Eternal Fire leg | Eternal Fireavg 80.3¢ | $598.55 | $745 | +$146.45 | |
| └ MIBR leg | MIBRavg 31.2¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR | MIBRavg 35.2¢ | $400 | — | -$400 | 53% 3165-2783 (5948) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | MIBRavg 52.6¢ | $359.9 | — | -$357.9 | 58% 41488-30106 (71594) |
AA aaaa298 | Eternal Fireavg 91.8¢ | $4.8K | $248 | +$383.5 | 59% 773-548 (1321) |
 poshposhCTR | MIBRavg 49¢ | $197.51 | — | -$197.51 | 59% 9914-6887 (16801) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | MIBRavg 47.5¢ | $77.19 | — | -$71.79 | 46% 7940-9367 (17307) |
MR MrConsistencyCTR<$100 | MIBRavg 28¢ | $77.78 | — | -$77.78 | 39% 560-861 (1421) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 87.5¢ | $14.55 | $16.63 | +$2.08 | 36% 15323-27397 (42720) |
TO TommyLeePeeca | Eternal Fireavg 58¢ | $231.99 | $30.03 | -$16.98 | 54% 1083-935 (2018) |
II iii252 | Eternal Fireavg 89.7¢ | $3.9K | $10.47 | +$437.45 | 56% 1126-867 (1993) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | MIBRavg 37¢ | $2.59 | — | -$2.59 | 38% 3185-5189 (8374) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | MIBRavg 45¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 62% 1124-677 (1801) |
RN1Invested
$4,934.4
Value
$6.5K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
54%
56315-48472 (104787)
Invested
$3,593.62
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
54%
494-424 (918)
Invested
$2,239.11
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$27.15
Record
97%
3293-115 (3408)
Invested
$1,313.81
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$146.56
Record
52%
13719-12523 (26242)
Invested
$1,667.31
Value
$745
PnL
-$922.31
Record
58%
18578-13636 (32214)
Both legs:
Invested
$400
Value
—
PnL
-$400
Record
53%
3165-2783 (5948)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$359.9
Value
—
PnL
-$357.9
Record
58%
41488-30106 (71594)
Invested
$4,825.64
Value
$248
PnL
+$383.5
Record
59%
773-548 (1321)
poshposhCTRInvested
$197.51
Value
—
PnL
-$197.51
Record
59%
9914-6887 (16801)
Invested
$77.19
Value
—
PnL
-$71.79
Record
46%
7940-9367 (17307)
Invested
$77.78
Value
—
PnL
-$77.78
Record
39%
560-861 (1421)
Invested
$14.55
Value
$16.63
PnL
+$2.08
Record
36%
15323-27397 (42720)
Invested
$231.99
Value
$30.03
PnL
-$16.98
Record
54%
1083-935 (2018)
Invested
$3,874.63
Value
$10.47
PnL
+$437.45
Record
56%
1126-867 (1993)
Invested
$2.59
Value
—
PnL
-$2.59
Record
38%
3185-5189 (8374)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
62%
1124-677 (1801)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Eternal Fire — $6.5K
pnhct
Eternal Fire — $4.8K
467j6yj
Eternal Fire — $2.3K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Eternal Fire — $1.5K
BillBenter2026
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
CTRMIBR — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRMIBR — $0
aaaa298
Eternal Fire — $248
poshposh
CTRMIBR — $0
38791873984189
CTRMIBR — $0