Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
8 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold JUMBO TEAM (80%) · JUMBO TEAM at 100¢ · $701 held · ends Nov 14
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Neutral
JUMBO TEAM
10
JUMBO TEAM 80%
$701.15
-$2.63
75.8¢ → 100¢
+32% since entry · 8 traders
Research grade
NeutralJUMBO TEAM at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GA Gaditima | JUMBO TEAMavg 69.8¢ | $303.35 | $284.53 | -$18.81 | 47% 226-251 (477) |
 poshposh | JUMBO TEAMavg 86.9¢ | $123.21 | $114.17 | -$9.04 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
SU suitcase6628 | JUMBO TEAMavg 89¢ | $97.9 | $109.95 | +$12.05 | 63% 464-269 (733) |
 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | JUMBO TEAMavg 80.2¢ | $138.76 | $62.68 | +$14.26 | 60% 133-89 (222) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | JUMBO TEAMavg 68.9¢ | $48.34 | $45.97 | -$2.37 | 49% 1307-1356 (2663) |
31 319113331313111CTR | Glitchtech Esportsavg 10.4¢ | $304.43 | $38.3 | +$1.99 | 57% 150-115 (265) |
LR lryyy<$100 | JUMBO TEAMavg 71¢ | $31.24 | $35.42 | +$4.18 | 45% 595-734 (1329) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Glitchtech Esportsavg 7.6¢ | $8.07 | $3.71 | -$4.36 | 37% 659-1143 (1802) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | JUMBO TEAMavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $3.28 | -$0.27 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | JUMBO TEAMavg 70.4¢ | $3.39 | $3.15 | -$0.24 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
Invested
$303.35
Value
$284.53
PnL
-$18.81
Record
47%
226-251 (477)
poshposhInvested
$123.21
Value
$114.17
PnL
-$9.04
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$97.9
Value
$109.95
PnL
+$12.05
Record
63%
464-269 (733)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$138.76
Value
$62.68
PnL
+$14.26
Record
60%
133-89 (222)
Invested
$48.34
Value
$45.97
PnL
-$2.37
Record
49%
1307-1356 (2663)
Invested
$304.43
Value
$38.3
PnL
+$1.99
Record
57%
150-115 (265)
Invested
$31.24
Value
$35.42
PnL
+$4.18
Record
45%
595-734 (1329)
Invested
$8.07
Value
$3.71
PnL
-$4.36
Record
37%
659-1143 (1802)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$3.28
PnL
-$0.27
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
Invested
$3.39
Value
$3.15
PnL
-$0.24
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Gaditima
JUMBO TEAM — $284.53
poshposh
JUMBO TEAM — $114.17
suitcase6628
JUMBO TEAM — $109.95
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
JUMBO TEAM — $62.68
Pan9X
JUMBO TEAM — $45.97
319113331313111
CTRGlitchtech Esports — $38.3
lryyy
JUMBO TEAM — $35.42
topdogbigboi
CTRGlitchtech Esports — $3.71
ferdinand2
JUMBO TEAM — $3.28
Flaznorp
JUMBO TEAM — $3.15