Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Axorfy Gaming - Map 1 Winner

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Galorys (67%) · Galorys at 100¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 15

Galorys>99¢Axorfy Gaming<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Galorys

Consensus Traders

Galorys 67%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$25.19

Smart Money Entry

84.5¢ → 100¢

+18% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralGalorys at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Galorys

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Galorys100%

Axorfy Gaming0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Galorys6 traders

Total Value$699.44

Total Shares715

Combined PnL+$18.61

Axorfy Gaming3 traders

Total Value$396.29

Total Shares769

Combined PnL+$6.58

Galorys — 67%Axorfy Gaming — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR crabfavor	Galorysavg 93¢	$311.63	$321.19	+$9.56	57% 116-87 (203)
NO NotJumpCTR	Axorfy Gamingavg 50¢	$262.5	$262.5	+$0	50% 1122-1124 (2246)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Galorysavg 91.1¢	$172.37	$161.92	-$10.46	61% 196-126 (322)
38 38791873984189	Galorysavg 52¢	$137.98	$113.55	+$6.59	48% 3953-4307 (8260)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	Axorfy Gamingavg 42.2¢	$90.92	$113.16	+$22.25	55% 177-144 (321)
31 319113331313111	Galorysavg 91.5¢	$319.62	$87.47	+$12.86	55% 203-164 (367)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Axorfy Gamingavg 12.5¢	$36.3	$20.63	-$15.67	39% 1558-2440 (3998)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Galorysavg 54¢	$8.91	$10.26	+$1.35	38% 3808-6231 (10039)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100	Galorysavg 97¢	$6.5	$5.05	-$1.3	55% 163-133 (296)

crabfavor

Galorys

Invested

$311.63

Value

$321.19

PnL

+$9.56

Record

57%

116-87 (203)

NotJumpCTR

Axorfy Gaming

Invested

$262.5

Value

$262.5

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1122-1124 (2246)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Galorys

Invested

$172.37

Value

$161.92

PnL

-$10.46

Record

61%

196-126 (322)

38791873984189

Galorys

Invested

$137.98

Value

$113.55

PnL

+$6.59

Record

48%

3953-4307 (8260)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

Axorfy Gaming

Invested

$90.92

Value

$113.16

PnL

+$22.25

Record

55%

177-144 (321)

319113331313111

Galorys

Invested

$319.62

Value

$87.47

PnL

+$12.86

Record

55%

203-164 (367)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Axorfy Gaming

Invested

$36.3

Value

$20.63

PnL

-$15.67

Record

39%

1558-2440 (3998)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Galorys

Invested

$8.91

Value

$10.26

PnL

+$1.35

Record

38%

3808-6231 (10039)

Future-Tarot-Trader<$100

Galorys

Invested

$6.5

Value

$5.05

PnL

-$1.3

Record

55%

163-133 (296)

Research grade

NeutralGalorys at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Galorys

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Galorys wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.