
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
12 of 19 top Polymarket traders hold DENDELE CS (63%) · DENDELE CS at 100¢ · $24K held · ends Nov 2
⚖️
Neutral
DENDELE CS
19
DENDELE CS 63%
$24.0K
$398.84
71.4¢ → 100¢
+40% since entry · 12 traders
Research grade
NeutralDENDELE CS at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | DENDELE CSavg 57.4¢ | $7.0K | $7.2K | +$197.03 | 52% 13935-12713 (26648) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | DENDELE CSavg 59.1¢ | $4.1K | $4.0K | -$68.23 | 54% 2460-2113 (4573) |
![]() CoinTrick | DENDELE CSavg 99.9¢ | $3.6K | $3.6K | +$1.78 | 97% 3333-88 (3421) |
46 467j6yj | DENDELE CSavg 96.3¢ | $3.5K | $3.6K | +$113.79 | 97% 3389-119 (3508) |
TH THEHIGHLIFECTR | Imperialavg 56.5¢ | $3.4K | $2.9K | +$115.06 | 54% 2484-2134 (4618) |
DE delacsynzy1 | DENDELE CSavg 54.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$3.15 | 51% 467-443 (910) |
![]() latvian.demonCTR | Imperialavg 61¢ | $610 | $575 | -$35 | 54% 717-603 (1320) |
PI PIPIZINCTR | Imperialavg 58¢ | $300 | $302.59 | +$2.59 | 51% 428-405 (833) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | DENDELE CSavg 68¢ | $172.5 | $171.23 | -$1.27 | 59% 30682-21402 (52084) |
TO topdogbigboi | DENDELE CSavg 41.2¢ | $69.24 | $158.15 | +$88.91 | 48% 8991-9637 (18628) |
OM omnibus-076daa | DENDELE CSavg 64.9¢ | $211.07 | $157.76 | -$53.31 | 50% 19465-19831 (39296) |
MA manoamanoCTR | Imperialavg 59¢ | $147.09 | $98.06 | -$2.45 | 51% 507-478 (985) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Imperialavg 38.1¢ | $81.5 | $96.28 | +$14.78 | 58% 18786-13851 (32637) |
0X 0x4f2CTR<$100 | Imperialavg 51¢ | $70.37 | $67.58 | -$2.79 | 52% 9186-8564 (17750) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | DENDELE CSavg 69.9¢ | $46.62 | $66.67 | +$20.05 | 66% 23472-11826 (35298) |
CC ccllar<$100 | DENDELE CSavg 51¢ | $43.86 | $43.43 | -$0.43 | 47% 461-527 (988) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | DENDELE CSavg 70.4¢ | $36.62 | $39.26 | +$2.64 | 52% 804-728 (1532) |
![]() TobenaiTenshiCTR<$100 | Imperialavg 54¢ | $38.87 | $37.07 | -$1.8 | 51% 421-398 (819) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | DENDELE CSavg 41¢ | $4.63 | $8.97 | +$4.34 | 58% 10691-7671 (18362) |
Invested
$6,996.93
Value
$7.2K
PnL
+$197.03
Record
52%
13935-12713 (26648)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$4,059.61
Value
$4.0K
PnL
-$68.23
Record
54%
2460-2113 (4573)
CoinTrickInvested
$3,566.12
Value
$3.6K
PnL
+$1.78
Record
97%
3333-88 (3421)
Invested
$3,450.06
Value
$3.6K
PnL
+$113.79
Record
97%
3389-119 (3508)
Invested
$3,428.1
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$115.06
Record
54%
2484-2134 (4618)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$3.15
Record
51%
467-443 (910)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$610
Value
$575
PnL
-$35
Record
54%
717-603 (1320)
Invested
$300
Value
$302.59
PnL
+$2.59
Record
51%
428-405 (833)
Invested
$172.5
Value
$171.23
PnL
-$1.27
Record
59%
30682-21402 (52084)
Invested
$69.24
Value
$158.15
PnL
+$88.91
Record
48%
8991-9637 (18628)
Invested
$211.07
Value
$157.76
PnL
-$53.31
Record
50%
19465-19831 (39296)
Invested
$147.09
Value
$98.06
PnL
-$2.45
Record
51%
507-478 (985)
Invested
$81.5
Value
$96.28
PnL
+$14.78
Record
58%
18786-13851 (32637)
Invested
$70.37
Value
$67.58
PnL
-$2.79
Record
52%
9186-8564 (17750)
Invested
$46.62
Value
$66.67
PnL
+$20.05
Record
66%
23472-11826 (35298)
Invested
$43.86
Value
$43.43
PnL
-$0.43
Record
47%
461-527 (988)
Invested
$36.62
Value
$39.26
PnL
+$2.64
Record
52%
804-728 (1532)
TobenaiTenshiCTR<$100Invested
$38.87
Value
$37.07
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
421-398 (819)
poshposh<$100Invested
$4.63
Value
$8.97
PnL
+$4.34
Record
58%
10691-7671 (18362)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
DENDELE CS — $7.2K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
DENDELE CS — $4.0K

CoinTrick
DENDELE CS — $3.6K
467j6yj
DENDELE CS — $3.6K
THEHIGHLIFE
CTRImperial — $2.9K
delacsynzy1
DENDELE CS — $1.0K

latvian.demon
CTRImperial — $575
PIPIZIN
CTRImperial — $302.59
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
DENDELE CS — $171.23
topdogbigboi
DENDELE CS — $158.15