Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was megoshort — but Butterfly won instead.
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage
Resolved Butterfly. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held megoshort. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
megoshort 65%
$10.7K
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 21 top traders (67%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JA JabJabich | Butterflyavg 23.1¢ | $4.7K | $4.7K | +$3.6K | 60% 190-125 (315) |
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F | Butterflyavg 73.9¢ | $3.1K | $4.2K | +$1.1K | 55% 237-192 (429) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR | megoshortavg 61¢ | $2.9K | — | $-1.9K | 52% 8776-7979 (16755) |
GT gt7238 | Butterflyavg 74¢ | $750.95 | $811.17 | +$60.21 | 45% 656-817 (1473) |
 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | Butterflyavg 50.7¢ | $473.86 | $499.81 | +$25.95 | 53% 2810-2452 (5262) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Butterflyavg 44.1¢ | $261.62 | $479.36 | +$217.74 | 50% 21194-21457 (42651) |
SL SlickRick123CTR | megoshortavg 43.1¢ | $552.62 | — | -$552.62 | 48% 5441-5954 (11395) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | megoshortavg 35.3¢ | $904.68 | — | -$904.68 | 47% 11734-13452 (25186) |
SW swiftFoxxCTR | megoshortavg 56.6¢ | $3.7K | — | $-3.7K | 69% 63-28 (91) |
 Future-Tarot-Trader<$100 | Butterflyavg 77¢ | $35.8 | $20 | +$4.2 | 64% 1261-702 (1963) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Butterflyavg 77¢ | $9.77 | $18.77 | +$9 | 54% 9741-8133 (17874) |
AO aomendushen008CTR<$100 | megoshortavg 0.1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 50% 960-959 (1919) |
KA KaczkaCTR | megoshortavg 51.6¢ | $307.45 | — | -$307.45 | 51% 473-454 (927) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | megoshortavg 28¢ | $75.56 | — | -$75.56 | 53% 1437-1278 (2715) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | megoshortavg 27¢ | $72.36 | — | -$72.36 | 49% 14716-15387 (30103) |
GA GaditimaCTR | megoshortavg 53.4¢ | $2.0K | — | -$197.65 | 48% 7396-8099 (15495) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | megoshortavg 71.2¢ | $49.87 | — | -$38.36 | 56% 9116-7272 (16388) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | megoshortavg 33.1¢ | $9.02 | — | +$0.11 | 50% 1336-1316 (2652) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | megoshortavg 30¢ | $4.29 | — | -$4.29 | 48% 61202-65997 (127199) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | megoshortavg 32.1¢ | $3.21 | — | +$5.94 | 51% 1390-1358 (2748) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | megoshortavg 78.5¢ | $87.95 | — | -$31.96 | 53% 23554-20762 (44316) |
Invested
$4,689.88
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$3.6K
Record
60%
190-125 (315)
Invested
$3,074.24
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
55%
237-192 (429)
Invested
$2,926.83
Value
—
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
52%
8776-7979 (16755)
Invested
$750.95
Value
$811.17
PnL
+$60.21
Record
45%
656-817 (1473)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$473.86
Value
$499.81
PnL
+$25.95
Record
53%
2810-2452 (5262)
Invested
$261.62
Value
$479.36
PnL
+$217.74
Record
50%
21194-21457 (42651)
Invested
$552.62
Value
—
PnL
-$552.62
Record
48%
5441-5954 (11395)
Invested
$904.68
Value
—
PnL
-$904.68
Record
47%
11734-13452 (25186)
Invested
$3,683.82
Value
—
PnL
$-3.7K
Record
69%
63-28 (91)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100Invested
$35.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.2
Record
64%
1261-702 (1963)
Invested
$9.77
Value
$18.77
PnL
+$9
Record
54%
9741-8133 (17874)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
960-959 (1919)
Invested
$307.45
Value
—
PnL
-$307.45
Record
51%
473-454 (927)
Invested
$75.56
Value
—
PnL
-$75.56
Record
53%
1437-1278 (2715)
Invested
$72.36
Value
—
PnL
-$72.36
Record
49%
14716-15387 (30103)
Invested
$1,961.93
Value
—
PnL
-$197.65
Record
48%
7396-8099 (15495)
Invested
$49.87
Value
—
PnL
-$38.36
Record
56%
9116-7272 (16388)
Invested
$9.02
Value
—
PnL
+$0.11
Record
50%
1336-1316 (2652)
Invested
$4.29
Value
—
PnL
-$4.29
Record
48%
61202-65997 (127199)
Invested
$3.21
Value
—
PnL
+$5.94
Record
51%
1390-1358 (2748)
Invested
$87.95
Value
—
PnL
-$31.96
Record
53%
23554-20762 (44316)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
JabJabich
Butterfly — $4.7K
0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F
Butterfly — $4.2K
ameisgoat11
CTRmegoshort — $0
gt7238
Butterfly — $811.17
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
Butterfly — $499.81
omnibus-076daa
Butterfly — $479.36
SlickRick123
CTRmegoshort — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRmegoshort — $0
swiftFoxx
CTRmegoshort — $0
Future-Tarot-Trader
Butterfly — $20