Counter-Strike: Team Bratishkin vs Team PCH3LK1N (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B

5 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Team PCH3LK1N (56%) · Team PCH3LK1N at 100¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 15

Team Bratishkin<1¢Team PCH3LK1N>99¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Team PCH3LK1N

Consensus Traders

Team PCH3LK1N 56%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$125.05

Smart Money Entry

86.1¢ → 100¢

+16% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralTeam PCH3LK1N at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Team PCH3LK1N

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Team Bratishkin0%

Team PCH3LK1N100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team PCH3LK1N5 traders

Total Value$799

Total Shares799

Combined PnL+$102.42

Team Bratishkin4 traders

Total Value$446.38

Total Shares608

Combined PnL+$22.62

Team PCH3LK1N — 56%Team Bratishkin — 44%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-24 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

56% of non-arb traders are on Team PCH3LK1N. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpTeam PCH3LK1N 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrTeam Bratishkin 60% · 5

Diverging

Top 1000Team PCH3LK1N 56% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VP Vps1	Team PCH3LK1Navg 99.9¢	$621.67	$621.98	+$0.31	88% 141-20 (161)
NO NotJumpCTR	Team Bratishkinavg 50¢	$262.5	$277.99	+$15.49	50% 1210-1232 (2442)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Team Bratishkinavg 36.8¢	$103	$165.65	+$62.65	39% 1675-2667 (4342)
CI cigarettes<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 35¢	$22.06	$63	+$40.94	53% 7612-6705 (14317)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 49.5¢	$25.5	$51.5	+$26	42% 771-1083 (1854)
LR lryyy<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 28.1¢	$20.24	$42.79	+$22.55	45% 1025-1238 (2263)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 36¢	$7.11	$19.73	+$12.62	40% 360-536 (896)
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100	Team Bratishkinavg 74¢	$32.87	$2.67	-$30.2	62% 289-177 (466)
GA GaditimaCTR<$100	Team Bratishkinavg 16.2¢	$25.39	$0.08	-$25.31	49% 408-425 (833)

Vps1

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$621.67

Value

$621.98

PnL

+$0.31

Record

88%

141-20 (161)

NotJumpCTR

Team Bratishkin

Invested

$262.5

Value

$277.99

PnL

+$15.49

Record

50%

1210-1232 (2442)

topdogbigboiCTR

Team Bratishkin

Invested

$103

Value

$165.65

PnL

+$62.65

Record

39%

1675-2667 (4342)

cigarettes<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$22.06

Value

$63

PnL

+$40.94

Record

53%

7612-6705 (14317)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$25.5

Value

$51.5

PnL

+$26

Record

42%

771-1083 (1854)

lryyy<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$20.24

Value

$42.79

PnL

+$22.55

Record

45%

1025-1238 (2263)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$7.11

Value

$19.73

PnL

+$12.62

Record

40%

360-536 (896)

thatsabing0CTR<$100

Team Bratishkin

Invested

$32.87

Value

$2.67

PnL

-$30.2

Record

62%

289-177 (466)

GaditimaCTR<$100

Team Bratishkin

Invested

$25.39

Value

$0.08

PnL

-$25.31

Record

49%

408-425 (833)

Research grade

NeutralTeam PCH3LK1N at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Team PCH3LK1N

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-24 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

56% of non-arb traders are on Team PCH3LK1N. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpTeam PCH3LK1N 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrTeam Bratishkin 60% · 5

Diverging

Top 1000Team PCH3LK1N 56% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Team PCH3LK1N wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.