Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

5 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold FaZe (56%) · FaZe at 100¢ · $19K held · ends Oct 27

Alliance<1¢FaZe>99¢Ends Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

FaZe

Consensus Traders

FaZe 56%

Total Value

$19.3K

Combined PnL

$-1.9K

Smart Money Entry

69¢ → 100¢

+45% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralFaZe at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

FaZe

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Alliance0%

FaZe100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

FaZe5 traders

Total Value$18.8K

Total Shares29,802

Combined PnL$-2.0K

Alliance4 traders

Total Value$526.39

Total Shares1,367

Combined PnL+$65.91

FaZe — 56%Alliance — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI SineNooneEI	FaZeavg 68¢	$13.6K	$12.3K	$-1.3K	55% 909-748 (1657)
itwasawholething	FaZeavg 67¢	$3.3K	$3.0K	-$268.38	60% 48-32 (80)
JE jessy2	FaZeavg 71.9¢	$2.6K	$2.3K	-$380.98	53% 87-77 (164)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	FaZeavg 83.5¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$59.42	52% 13467-12324 (25791)
AS astapzippoCTR	Allianceavg 32¢	$169.6	$204.05	+$34.45	56% 2100-1638 (3738)
GT gt7238CTR	Allianceavg 37.5¢	$182.88	$187.59	+$4.71	45% 579-703 (1282)
DA dancingmonkey1CTR<$100	Allianceavg 33¢	$66	$77	+$11	54% 1234-1069 (2303)
poshposhCTR<$100	Allianceavg 28¢	$42	$57.75	+$15.75	60% 9075-5994 (15069)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	FaZeavg 90¢	$4.5	$4.85	+$0.34	36% 14556-26000 (40556)

SineNooneEI

FaZe

Invested

$13,600

Value

$12.3K

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

55%

909-748 (1657)

itwasawholething

FaZe

Invested

$3,269.37

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$268.38

Record

60%

48-32 (80)

jessy2

FaZe

Invested

$2,637.74

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$380.98

Record

53%

87-77 (164)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

FaZe

Invested

$1,307.71

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$59.42

Record

52%

13467-12324 (25791)

astapzippoCTR

Alliance

Invested

$169.6

Value

$204.05

PnL

+$34.45

Record

56%

2100-1638 (3738)

gt7238CTR

Alliance

Invested

$182.88

Value

$187.59

PnL

+$4.71

Record

45%

579-703 (1282)

dancingmonkey1CTR<$100

Alliance

Invested

$66

Value

$77

PnL

+$11

Record

54%

1234-1069 (2303)

poshposhCTR<$100

Alliance

Invested

$42

Value

$57.75

PnL

+$15.75

Record

60%

9075-5994 (15069)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

FaZe

Invested

$4.5

Value

$4.85

PnL

+$0.34

Record

36%

14556-26000 (40556)

Research grade

NeutralFaZe at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

FaZe

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that FaZe wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.