Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Namibia Women — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Namibia Women
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs USA Women
Resolved Namibia Women. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Namibia Women. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Namibia Women 60%
1 arb excluded
$818.85
$194.83
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Namibia Womenavg 53.5¢ | $532.29 | $692.42 | +$160.14 | 59% 33219-23387 (56606) |
 dips.ARB<$100 | USA Womenavg 39.6¢ | $1.0K | $22.93 | $-1.0K | 47% 11018-12633 (23651) |
| └ USA Women leg | USA Womenavg 39.6¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | |
| └ Namibia Women leg | Namibia Womenavg 90.6¢ | $20.78 | $22.93 | +$2.15 | |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Namibia Womenavg 48.2¢ | $39.79 | $82.47 | +$42.68 | 50% 21541-21839 (43380) |
FE ferrariChampions2026<$100 | Namibia Womenavg 47¢ | $9.88 | $21.03 | +$11.15 | 42% 8168-11359 (19527) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | USA Womenavg 30¢ | $8.84 | — | -$9.06 | 47% 9560-10672 (20232) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | USA Womenavg 46.6¢ | $10.08 | — | -$10.08 | 51% 27202-25761 (52963) |
Invested
$532.29
Value
$692.42
PnL
+$160.14
Record
59%
33219-23387 (56606)
dips.ARB<$100Invested
$1,032.8
Value
$22.93
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
47%
11018-12633 (23651)
Both legs:
Invested
$39.79
Value
$82.47
PnL
+$42.68
Record
50%
21541-21839 (43380)
Invested
$9.88
Value
$21.03
PnL
+$11.15
Record
42%
8168-11359 (19527)
Invested
$8.84
Value
—
PnL
-$9.06
Record
47%
9560-10672 (20232)
Invested
$10.08
Value
—
PnL
-$10.08
Record
51%
27202-25761 (52963)