Back to Markets
tradecraftNoYes
dips.CTRYesNo
probabilityCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Bangladesh win?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 60%
Total Value
$859.41
Combined PnL
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$859.41
Total Shares859
Combined PnL-$43.79
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9,085
Combined PnL$-1.1K
No — 63%Yes — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tradecraft | Noavg 78.4¢ | $269.36 | $843.95 | -$52.04 | 51% 6915-6568 (13483) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR | Yesavg 30.2¢ | $815.71 | — | -$799.96 | 54% 5399-4606 (10005) |
dips.CTR | Yesavg 2.9¢ | $86.15 | — | -$275.23 | 48% 17808-19532 (37340) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | $7.11 | $15.46 | +$8.26 | 47% 6391-7104 (13495) |
probabilityCTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.2¢ | $30.4 | — | -$31.65 | 38% 1810-2977 (4787) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 59.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21924-45779 (67703) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66257-66785 (133042) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 29% 3594-8807 (12401) |
tradecraftInvested
$269.36
Value
$843.95
PnL
-$52.04
Record
51%
6915-6568 (13483)
SU
SunlineTickerCTRInvested
$815.71
Value
—
PnL
-$799.96
Record
54%
5399-4606 (10005)
dips.CTRInvested
$86.15
Value
—
PnL
-$275.23
Record
48%
17808-19532 (37340)
SL
SlickRick123<$100Invested
$7.11
Value
$15.46
PnL
+$8.26
Record
47%
6391-7104 (13495)
probabilityCTR<$100Invested
$30.4
Value
—
PnL
-$31.65
Record
38%
1810-2977 (4787)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21924-45779 (67703)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66257-66785 (133042)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
3594-8807 (12401)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xeb11bfb8...4ff5f7
Slug
crint-bgd-wst-2026-11-04-bgd