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UnderUnder
poshposh<$100UnderUnderUnderOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Under 83%
Total Value
$438.56
Combined PnL
$33.2
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under5 traders
Total Value$438.56
Total Shares439
Combined PnL+$44.89
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares117
Combined PnL-$11.69
Under — 83%Over — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 90¢ | $339.21 | $376.9 | +$37.69 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 91.9¢ | $35.11 | $38 | +$2.89 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
poshposh<$100 | Underavg 81¢ | $9.72 | $12 | +$2.28 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 83¢ | $5.53 | $6.66 | +$1.13 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 82¢ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 45% 712-885 (1597) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 10¢ | $11.69 | — | -$11.69 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$339.21
Value
$376.9
PnL
+$37.69
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$35.11
Value
$38
PnL
+$2.89
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
poshposh<$100Invested
$9.72
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.28
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$5.53
Value
$6.66
PnL
+$1.13
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
45%
712-885 (1597)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$11.69
Value
—
PnL
-$11.69
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1a1d7a3c...e47d5d
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-total-5pt5