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RN1UnderUnderUnderUnderOverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Under 80%
Total Value
$2.3K
Combined PnL
-$68.9
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$2.3K
Total Shares2,341
Combined PnL-$67.56
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$1.34
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1 | Underavg 91¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$137.7 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 92.7¢ | $825.19 | $653.67 | -$171.52 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 79.3¢ | $147.61 | $110.13 | -$37.48 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 92¢ | $43 | $46.74 | +$3.74 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 6¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 9¢ | $16.5 | — | -$0.46 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
RN1Invested
$1,392.3
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$137.7
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$825.19
Value
$653.67
PnL
-$171.52
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$147.61
Value
$110.13
PnL
-$37.48
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$43
Value
$46.74
PnL
+$3.74
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.46
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe6b75695...77f496
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-total-4pt5