Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Under 71%
$2.4K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 70.3Β’ | $1.8K | $1.8K | -$24.99 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 34.3Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
TO topdogbigboi | Underavg 55.9Β’ | $92.3 | $156.82 | +$64.52 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
![]() Secondhandvinyl | Underavg 88.6Β’ | $121.93 | $137.68 | +$15.75 | 74% 207-71 (278) |
SE sentrio | Underavg 77Β’ | $84.43 | $109.65 | +$25.22 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
LE LeLynxMalynx | Underavg 61Β’ | $100.88 | $104 | +$3.12 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Underavg 76Β’ | $54.62 | $58.05 | +$3.43 | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
![]() dips.<$100 | Underavg 50Β’ | $23.99 | $47.98 | +$23.99 | 47% 877-973 (1850) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Underavg 67.4Β’ | $31 | $46 | +$15 | 44% 600-749 (1349) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Underavg 58Β’ | $8.7 | $15 | +$6.3 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Underavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 45% 712-885 (1597) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 38.6Β’ | $24.75 | β | -$24.75 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 20Β’ | $5.07 | β | -$5.07 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 42Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Overavg 46.2Β’ | $10.01 | β | +$1.88 | 83% 183-37 (220) |
Invested
$1,786.93
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$24.99
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$1,287.56
Value
β
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$92.3
Value
$156.82
PnL
+$64.52
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$121.93
Value
$137.68
PnL
+$15.75
Record
74%
207-71 (278)
Invested
$84.43
Value
$109.65
PnL
+$25.22
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
Invested
$100.88
Value
$104
PnL
+$3.12
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
Invested
$54.62
Value
$58.05
PnL
+$3.43
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)
dips.<$100Invested
$23.99
Value
$47.98
PnL
+$23.99
Record
47%
877-973 (1850)
Invested
$31
Value
$46
PnL
+$15
Record
44%
600-749 (1349)
RN1<$100Invested
$8.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.3
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
45%
712-885 (1597)
Invested
$24.75
Value
β
PnL
-$24.75
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$5.07
Value
β
PnL
-$5.07
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$10.01
Value
β
PnL
+$1.88
Record
83%
183-37 (220)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Under β $1.8K
GoalLineGhost
CTROver β $0
topdogbigboi
Under β $156.82

Secondhandvinyl
Under β $137.68
sentrio
Under β $109.65
LeLynxMalynx
Under β $104
cigarettes
Under β $58.05

dips.
Under β $47.98
smithagent
Under β $46

RN1
Under β $15