Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 63%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

$153.59

Over

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Under3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares280

Combined PnL-$108.74

Over8 traders

Total Value$233.97

Total Shares234

Combined PnL+$262.32

Under — 27%Over — 73%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Overavg 60.5¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$7.2	54% 2013-1746 (3759)
└ Over leg	Overavg 60.5¢	$776.17	$1.3K	+$506.6
└ Under leg	Underavg 38.8¢	$513.8	—	-$513.8
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Underavg 39.5¢	$1.3K	$1.1K	-$160.47	50% 3544-3611 (7155)
└ Over leg	Overavg 56.6¢	$639.24	$1.1K	+$490.84
└ Under leg	Underavg 39.5¢	$651.31	—	-$651.31
RN1CTR<$100	Underavg 37.7¢	$95.59	—	-$95.59	56% 5073-4021 (9094)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Overavg 56.5¢	$52.72	$87.69	+$34.97	37% 841-1416 (2257)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Overavg 58¢	$47.56	$82	+$34.44	56% 426-340 (766)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Overavg 71¢	$30.2	$42.53	+$12.33	98% 420-7 (427)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Overavg 56¢	$14.38	$16.75	+$7.37	49% 1883-1987 (3870)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 50¢	$10.8	—	-$10.8	37% 926-1560 (2486)
SE sentrio<$100	Overavg 50¢	$5	$5	+$0	43% 920-1244 (2164)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 47¢	$2.35	—	-$2.35	36% 911-1587 (2498)
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22	Overavg 68¢	$339.98	$0.01	+$159.49	— 8-7 (15)
VA Vampiro1<$100	Overavg 64¢	$5.76	—	+$0.72	83% 183-37 (220)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Overavg 71¢	$31.95	—	+$13	82% 648-144 (792)