Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 33%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$778.04

Combined PnL

$223.4

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Over4 traders

Total Value$576.75

Total Shares577

Combined PnL+$323.48

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares432

Combined PnL-$100.09

Over — 40%Under — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Underavg 19.7¢	$567.31	$201.29	-$366.02	50% 3544-3611 (7155)
└ Under leg	Underavg 19.7¢	$401.46	—	-$401.46
└ Over leg	Overavg 82.4¢	$165.85	$201.29	+$35.44
GO GoalLineGhost	Overavg 79.7¢	$437.28	$545.41	+$108.14	54% 2013-1746 (3759)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Underavg 19¢	$40.29	—	-$40.29	43% 920-1244 (2164)
VA Vampiro1<$100	Overavg 91¢	$18.2	$20	+$1.8	83% 183-37 (220)
poshposhCTR<$100	Underavg 28¢	$21.91	—	-$21.91	48% 1014-1101 (2115)
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Overavg 73¢	$9.59	$11.33	+$1.74	37% 841-1416 (2257)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Underavg 28.5¢	$16.63	—	-$16.63	36% 883-1569 (2452)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 28¢	$10.36	—	-$10.36	37% 926-1560 (2486)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 24¢	$8.69	—	-$8.69	36% 911-1587 (2498)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Underavg 22¢	$2.22	—	-$2.22	49% 1883-1987 (3870)
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22	Overavg 78¢	$754.39	$0	+$211.81	— 8-7 (15)