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poshposhMontserratMontserratNicaraguaNicaraguaNicaraguaNicaragua
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Montserrat — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Montserrat
Spread: Nicaragua (-3.5)
Resolved Montserrat. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Montserrat. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Montserrat 33%
Total Value
$467.52
Combined PnL
-$5.66
Smart Money Signal
Montserrat
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Nicaragua0%
Montserrat100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Montserrat2 traders
Total Value$467.52
Total Shares468
Combined PnL+$89.76
Nicaragua4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares371
Combined PnL-$95.42
Montserrat — 33%Nicaragua — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposh | Montserratavg 75¢ | $208.56 | $278.08 | +$69.52 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Montserratavg 89.3¢ | $169.2 | $189.44 | +$20.24 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 23.6¢ | $63.15 | — | -$63.15 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 25¢ | $30.82 | — | -$30.82 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 2.5¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 24¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
poshposhInvested
$208.56
Value
$278.08
PnL
+$69.52
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$169.2
Value
$189.44
PnL
+$20.24
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$63.15
Value
—
PnL
-$63.15
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$30.82
Value
—
PnL
-$30.82
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9f70fb4f...9006d6
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-spread-away-3pt5