Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Montserrat β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Montserrat

Spread: Nicaragua (-2.5)
Resolved Montserrat. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Montserrat. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Montserrat 25%
$1.8K
-$137.05
Smart Money Signal
3 of 12 top traders (25%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Montserratavg 71.9Β’ | $873.09 | $1.0K | +$164.88 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Montserratavg 74.6Β’ | $703.68 | $790.21 | +$86.53 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Nicaraguaavg 45.1Β’ | $246.46 | β | -$246.46 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Montserratavg 60.8Β’ | $12.15 | $20 | +$7.85 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 41.8Β’ | $91.22 | β | -$91.22 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 41Β’ | $16.4 | β | -$16.4 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 48.6Β’ | $15.99 | β | -$15.99 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 32Β’ | $10 | β | -$10 | 39% 406-629 (1035) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 42Β’ | $7.98 | β | -$7.98 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 28Β’ | $5.01 | β | -$5.01 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 43Β’ | $2.33 | β | -$2.33 | 35% 424-772 (1196) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Nicaraguaavg 48Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
Invested
$873.09
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$164.88
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$703.68
Value
$790.21
PnL
+$86.53
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$246.46
Value
β
PnL
-$246.46
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Invested
$12.15
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.85
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$91.22
Value
β
PnL
-$91.22
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
Invested
$16.4
Value
β
PnL
-$16.4
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$15.99
Value
β
PnL
-$15.99
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$10
Value
β
PnL
-$10
Record
39%
406-629 (1035)
Invested
$7.98
Value
β
PnL
-$7.98
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
Invested
$5.01
Value
β
PnL
-$5.01
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$2.33
Value
β
PnL
-$2.33
Record
35%
424-772 (1196)
Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Montserrat β $1.0K
GoalLineGhost
Montserrat β $790.21
topdogbigboi
CTRNicaragua β $0
ferdinand2
Montserrat β $20
Limousin
CTRNicaragua β $0
Venusian
CTRNicaragua β $0

poshposh
CTRNicaragua β $0
pauleta23
CTRNicaragua β $0
MadridTime
CTRNicaragua β $0
LightParadox
CTRNicaragua β $0