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NoNo
poshposh<$100NoYes
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 75%
Total Value
$280.67
Combined PnL
$51.19
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$280.67
Total Shares281
Combined PnL+$79.9
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares76
Combined PnL-$28.71
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 56.8¢ | $83.1 | $146.24 | +$63.14 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 62.6¢ | $102.5 | $115.77 | +$13.27 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
poshposh<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | $15.87 | $18.67 | +$2.8 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 38¢ | $28.71 | — | -$28.71 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $4.3 | — | +$0.7 | 82% 648-144 (792) |
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$83.1
Value
$146.24
PnL
+$63.14
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$102.5
Value
$115.77
PnL
+$13.27
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
poshposh<$100Invested
$15.87
Value
$18.67
PnL
+$2.8
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$28.71
Value
—
PnL
-$28.71
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
+$0.7
Record
82%
648-144 (792)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x76e6bd3b...7dd31c
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-halftime-result-draw