Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Nicaragua leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
No 71%
$1.4K
$75.16
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 51.5¢ | $618.61 | $951.39 | +$332.77 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 48.5¢ | $140.7 | $290.15 | +$149.44 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $22.46 | $44.92 | +$22.46 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
 poshposh<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | $30.98 | $35.59 | +$4.61 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 52¢ | $24.1 | $30.5 | +$14.4 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
 lma0o0o0oCTR | Yesavg 48.8¢ | $463.38 | — | -$463.38 | 54% 38-33 (71) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | $5.33 | $11.84 | +$6.51 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | $5.06 | $11 | +$5.94 | 45% 712-885 (1597) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $5.46 | $10.92 | +$5.46 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
 dips.<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | $3.78 | $9 | +$5.22 | 47% 877-973 (1850) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 37% 497-832 (1329) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 57.7¢ | $5.19 | — | -$5.19 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Yesavg 58¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 34% 347-673 (1020) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
Invested
$618.61
Value
$951.39
PnL
+$332.77
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$140.7
Value
$290.15
PnL
+$149.44
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$22.46
Value
$44.92
PnL
+$22.46
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
poshposh<$100Invested
$30.98
Value
$35.59
PnL
+$4.61
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$24.1
Value
$30.5
PnL
+$14.4
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
lma0o0o0oCTRInvested
$463.38
Value
—
PnL
-$463.38
Record
54%
38-33 (71)
Invested
$5.33
Value
$11.84
PnL
+$6.51
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
Invested
$5.06
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.94
Record
45%
712-885 (1597)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$10.92
PnL
+$5.46
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
dips.<$100Invested
$3.78
Value
$9
PnL
+$5.22
Record
47%
877-973 (1850)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
37%
497-832 (1329)
Invested
$5.19
Value
—
PnL
-$5.19
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
34%
347-673 (1020)
Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)