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OverOverOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$277.98
Combined PnL
$95.84
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$277.98
Total Shares278
Combined PnL+$107.25
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$11.41
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 55.6¢ | $132.22 | $237.88 | +$105.66 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 53.3¢ | $36.5 | $37.31 | +$0.81 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Overavg 72¢ | $2.01 | $2.79 | +$0.78 | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 3% 7-259 (266) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$132.22
Value
$237.88
PnL
+$105.66
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$36.5
Value
$37.31
PnL
+$0.81
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$2.01
Value
$2.79
PnL
+$0.78
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)
SP
SpringlyFawlCTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
3%
7-259 (266)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1df91579...c7bb48
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-first-half-total-0pt5