Back to Markets
YesNoYesNo
RN1CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Montserrat vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$56.6
Combined PnL
-$29.94
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$56.6
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$30
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares204
Combined PnL-$59.93
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $20.51 | $43.64 | +$23.13 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 32.7¢ | $55.47 | — | -$55.47 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $6.09 | $12.96 | +$6.87 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 4¢ | $1.59 | — | -$1.59 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $2.87 | — | -$2.87 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$20.51
Value
$43.64
PnL
+$23.13
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$55.47
Value
—
PnL
-$55.47
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$6.09
Value
$12.96
PnL
+$6.87
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.59
Value
—
PnL
-$1.59
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.87
Value
—
PnL
-$2.87
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd7886289...419e57
Slug
conl-msr-nca-2026-11-13-btts