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OverUnderUnderOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Saint-Martin vs. El Salvador: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 71%
Total Value
$30.32
Combined PnL
-$21.01
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$30.32
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$1.11
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares593
Combined PnL-$22.11
Over — 29%Under — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100 | Overavg 96.3¢ | $22.14 | $22.99 | +$0.85 | 51% 141-138 (279) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.9¢ | $10.3 | — | -$10.3 | 36% 890-1596 (2486) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.8¢ | $7.32 | — | -$7.32 | 35% 424-772 (1196) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 96.5¢ | $7.07 | $7.33 | +$0.26 | 83% 183-37 (220) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.3¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.5¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.7¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
0X
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100Invested
$22.14
Value
$22.99
PnL
+$0.85
Record
51%
141-138 (279)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$10.3
Value
—
PnL
-$10.3
Record
36%
890-1596 (2486)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$7.32
Value
—
PnL
-$7.32
Record
35%
424-772 (1196)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$7.07
Value
$7.33
PnL
+$0.26
Record
83%
183-37 (220)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0ef92f32...0b5360
Slug
conl-maf-slv-2026-11-13-total-0pt5