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MexicoJamaicaJamaicaMexicoJamaica
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Mexico — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mexico
Spread: Jamaica (-3.5)
Resolved Mexico. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Mexico. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Mexico 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$5.6K
Combined PnL
$209.85
Smart Money Signal
Mexico
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Jamaica0%
Mexico100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Mexico2 traders
Total Value$5.4K
Total Shares5,432
Combined PnL+$320.19
Jamaica2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,101
Combined PnL-$110.34
Mexico — 50%Jamaica — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Mexicoavg 94.1¢ | $5.1K | $5.4K | +$319.48 | 49% 4509-4779 (9288) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Jamaicaavg 4.6¢ | $355.54 | $178.91 | -$176.63 | 52% 2433-2206 (4639) |
| └ Mexico leg | Mexicoavg 91¢ | $162.81 | $178.91 | +$16.1 | |
| └ Jamaica leg | Jamaicaavg 4.6¢ | $192.73 | — | -$192.73 | |
SH shiifooCTR | Jamaicaavg 10¢ | $110.26 | — | -$110.26 | 60% 1462-961 (2423) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Mexicoavg 88¢ | $5.18 | $5.89 | +$0.71 | 48% 2431-2662 (5093) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Jamaicaavg 7.1¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 36% 609-1105 (1714) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$5,106.98
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$319.48
Record
49%
4509-4779 (9288)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$355.54
Value
$178.91
PnL
-$176.63
Record
52%
2433-2206 (4639)
Both legs:
Mexico$162.8191¢+$16.1
Jamaica$192.734.6¢-$192.73
SH
shiifooCTRInvested
$110.26
Value
—
PnL
-$110.26
Record
60%
1462-961 (2423)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$5.18
Value
$5.89
PnL
+$0.71
Record
48%
2431-2662 (5093)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
36%
609-1105 (1714)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb5052c00...1bd3dc
Slug
conl-jam-mex-2026-11-14-spread-home-3pt5