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YesNo
RN1CTRNoNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Jamaica leading at halftime?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
-$806.09
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,599
Combined PnL+$691.98
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,830
Combined PnL$-1.5K
Yes — 14%No — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 40.1¢ | $906.72 | $1.6K | +$691.98 | 49% 4509-4779 (9288) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 63¢ | $587.33 | — | -$587.33 | 52% 2433-2206 (4639) |
RN1CTR | Noavg 92¢ | $437 | — | -$437 | 54% 5879-4932 (10811) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 91.2¢ | $386.05 | — | -$386.05 | 37% 1279-2142 (3421) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $66.07 | — | -$66.07 | 38% 1289-2093 (3382) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | $18.2 | — | -$18.2 | 38% 1261-2087 (3348) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 19¢ | $3.42 | — | -$3.42 | 48% 2431-2662 (5093) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$906.72
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$691.98
Record
49%
4509-4779 (9288)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$587.33
Value
—
PnL
-$587.33
Record
52%
2433-2206 (4639)
RN1CTRInvested
$437
Value
—
PnL
-$437
Record
54%
5879-4932 (10811)
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$386.05
Value
—
PnL
-$386.05
Record
37%
1279-2142 (3421)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$66.07
Value
—
PnL
-$66.07
Record
38%
1289-2093 (3382)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
—
PnL
-$18.2
Record
38%
1261-2087 (3348)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$3.42
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
48%
2431-2662 (5093)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36254426...611f78
Slug
conl-jam-mex-2026-11-14-halftime-result-home