Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was No β and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Mexico leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
No 100%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
$665.07
Smart Money Signal
6 of 6 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox | Noavg 95.6Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$49.51 | 37% 1279-2142 (3421) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 58.2Β’ | $442.75 | $760.54 | +$317.79 | 38% 1261-2087 (3348) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 46.8Β’ | $309.81 | $554.09 | +$244.28 | 49% 4509-4779 (9288) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 20.8Β’ | $400.02 | $121.82 | -$278.2 | 52% 2433-2206 (4639) |
| β No leg | Noavg 45Β’ | $54.82 | $121.82 | +$67 | |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 20.8Β’ | $345.2 | β | -$345.2 | |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 95Β’ | $102.84 | $108.25 | +$5.41 | 38% 1289-2093 (3382) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 54.6Β’ | $56.76 | $103.93 | +$47.17 | 38% 1284-2117 (3401) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Noavg 85Β’ | $8.5 | β | +$0.9 | 82% 271-59 (330) |
Invested
$1,082.46
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$49.51
Record
37%
1279-2142 (3421)
Invested
$442.75
Value
$760.54
PnL
+$317.79
Record
38%
1261-2087 (3348)
Invested
$309.81
Value
$554.09
PnL
+$244.28
Record
49%
4509-4779 (9288)
Invested
$400.02
Value
$121.82
PnL
-$278.2
Record
52%
2433-2206 (4639)
Both legs:
Invested
$102.84
Value
$108.25
PnL
+$5.41
Record
38%
1289-2093 (3382)
Invested
$56.76
Value
$103.93
PnL
+$47.17
Record
38%
1284-2117 (3401)
Invested
$8.5
Value
β
PnL
+$0.9
Record
82%
271-59 (330)