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Under
RN1<$100Under
poshposh<$100UnderUnderOverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Under 80%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$47.7
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,141
Combined PnL-$47.41
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9
Combined PnL-$0.28
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 99.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$42.07 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 90.6¢ | $78.76 | $70.17 | -$8.59 | 56% 5169-4141 (9310) |
poshposh<$100 | Underavg 92¢ | $32.86 | $35.71 | +$2.85 | 48% 1031-1119 (2150) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 91.8¢ | $4.45 | $4.85 | +$0.4 | 54% 2027-1761 (3788) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 3.1¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR<$100 | Overavg 10.7¢ | $1.86 | — | +$0.01 | 30% 95-225 (320) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$1,072.06
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$42.07
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
RN1<$100Invested
$78.76
Value
$70.17
PnL
-$8.59
Record
56%
5169-4141 (9310)
poshposh<$100Invested
$32.86
Value
$35.71
PnL
+$2.85
Record
48%
1031-1119 (2150)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$4.85
PnL
+$0.4
Record
54%
2027-1761 (3788)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
NO
NordhavenCapCTR<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
+$0.01
Record
30%
95-225 (320)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x01e04d87...63abe9
Slug
conl-gua-can-2026-11-13-total-6pt5