Back to Markets
CanadaCanadaGuatemalaGuatemalaGuatemala
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Canada — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Canada
Spread: Guatemala (-1.5)
Resolved Canada. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Canada. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Canada 40%
Total Value
$3.2K
Combined PnL
-$30.74
Smart Money Signal
Canada
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Guatemala0%
Canada100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Canada2 traders
Total Value$3.2K
Total Shares3,176
Combined PnL+$156.76
Guatemala3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,075
Combined PnL-$187.5
Canada — 40%Guatemala — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Canadaavg 94.1¢ | $2.5K | $2.6K | +$156.21 | 54% 2027-1761 (3788) |
LO looppau | Canadaavg 99.9¢ | $543.43 | $543.97 | +$0.54 | 100% 615-0 (615) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Guatemalaavg 6.1¢ | $176.31 | — | -$176.31 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Guatemalaavg 6¢ | $7.52 | — | -$7.52 | 43% 949-1283 (2232) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Guatemalaavg 6¢ | $3.66 | — | -$3.66 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$2,475.65
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$156.21
Record
54%
2027-1761 (3788)
LO
looppauInvested
$543.43
Value
$543.97
PnL
+$0.54
Record
100%
615-0 (615)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$176.31
Value
—
PnL
-$176.31
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$7.52
Value
—
PnL
-$7.52
Record
43%
949-1283 (2232)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$3.66
Value
—
PnL
-$3.66
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe8c5bbaa...c1c2f9
Slug
conl-gua-can-2026-11-13-spread-home-1pt5