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NoYesNoNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Guatemala leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 43%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
-$151.92
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,190
Combined PnL+$167.65
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,232
Combined PnL-$319.57
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Noavg 86¢ | $880.93 | $1.0K | +$143.61 | 36% 915-1634 (2549) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 14¢ | $267.29 | — | -$267.29 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | $75.2 | $88.47 | +$13.27 | 36% 902-1601 (2503) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $66.11 | $76.87 | +$10.76 | 48% 877-965 (1842) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.1¢ | $27.86 | — | -$27.86 | 43% 949-1283 (2232) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.3¢ | $13.62 | — | -$13.62 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 54% 2027-1761 (3788) |
VE
VenusianInvested
$880.93
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$143.61
Record
36%
915-1634 (2549)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$267.29
Value
—
PnL
-$267.29
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$75.2
Value
$88.47
PnL
+$13.27
Record
36%
902-1601 (2503)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$66.11
Value
$76.87
PnL
+$10.76
Record
48%
877-965 (1842)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$27.86
Value
—
PnL
-$27.86
Record
43%
949-1283 (2232)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$13.62
Value
—
PnL
-$13.62
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
54%
2027-1761 (3788)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf9c0bdb...7a3968
Slug
conl-gua-can-2026-11-13-halftime-result-home