Back to Markets
RN1<$100NoNo
poshposhCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Guatemala vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$70.62
Combined PnL
-$22.47
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$70.62
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$0.88
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares208
Combined PnL-$21.59
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $46.62 | $47.62 | +$1 | 56% 5169-4141 (9310) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 83.7¢ | $24.88 | $23 | -$1.88 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $19.59 | — | -$19.59 | 48% 1031-1119 (2150) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 30% 95-225 (320) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
RN1<$100Invested
$46.62
Value
$47.62
PnL
+$1
Record
56%
5169-4141 (9310)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$24.88
Value
$23
PnL
-$1.88
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$19.59
Value
—
PnL
-$19.59
Record
48%
1031-1119 (2150)
NO
NordhavenCapCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
30%
95-225 (320)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7095be19...d2c321
Slug
conl-gua-can-2026-11-13-halftime-result-draw